Seasonal and Geographic Influences on Photochromic Lens Sales

by | Sep 19, 2022

The photochromic share of lens sales averaged 21% during 2021. To explore how photochromic lens sales change over time and place, we drew from a representative sample of 1,000 ECP locations distributed across the US in the GPN dataset.  As the amount of sunlight available to trigger photochromic darkening varies by time and place, the month and location of purchase was compared to sunlight levels.  Sunlight here is measured as “insolation” – incoming solar radiation in kilojoules of per square meter. Insolation is tracked by NASA and reported by the CDC. Insolation is affected by latitude and daylight hours as well as cloud cover and air pollution.  

It turns out that photochromic sales track sunlight very closely as seen in the seasonal pattern.  The correlation between insolation and photochromic sales over time was very high (r=.91). Location was also a significant (r=.42) but weaker indicator of photochromic sales.

By Ron Krefman, OD

Finding solutions in data science.

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